BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Central Florida

Class: 1A Class Rank: 18 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (9-0) Overall: (12-0) Overall Strength =  171.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Away    W * 166.27  56  17   1A 128 (  1- 11) Connecticut            -3.83 *   42.83                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   155.57  38   0   1B  85 (  5-  6) South Carolina St     -14.53 *   52.53                      
  3 09/21/2018 Home    W   166.11  56  36   1A  90 (  5-  7) Florida Atlantic       -3.99     23.99                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W   187.45  45  14   1A  52 (  7-  6) Pittsburgh             17.35     13.65                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    W * 172.75  48  20   1A  96 (  5-  7) SMU                     2.65     25.35                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    W * 162.86  31  30   1A  59 (  8-  5) Memphis                -7.24      8.24                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    W * 166.14  37  10   1A 120 (  3-  9) East Carolina          -3.96     30.96                      
  8 11/01/2018 Home    W * 171.24  52  40   1A  49 (  8-  4) Temple                  1.14     10.86                      
  9 11/10/2018 Home    W * 154.46  35  24   1A  97 (  3- 10) Navy                  -15.64     26.64                      
 10 11/17/2018 Home    W * 188.81  38  13   1A  33 ( 10-  2) Cincinnati             18.71      6.29                      
 11 11/23/2018 Away    W * 177.15  38  10   1A  94 (  7-  5) South Florida           7.05     20.95                      
 12 12/01/2018 Home    W * 172.38  56  41   1A  59 (  8-  5) Memphis                 2.28     12.72                      
 13 01/01/2019 Neutral                      1A  11 (  9-  3) LSU                              -2.59             
      Averages             170.10  44.2 21.2

Best game:  188.81 = 25 point win over Cincinnati
Worst game: 154.46 = 11 point win over Navy
Team stdev:  10.74